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CALENDAR EFFECTS TRADE INFORMATION
NEXT TRADE TYPE
NEXT TRADE DATE
LAST TRADE DATE
DAYS SINCE TRADE
TYPE
DATE
DATE
DAYS
* Trade should be executed as close to market close as possible to achieve desired performance results. All performance shown on this page uses algorithmic trade data based on market close trade execution.
CALENDAR EFFECTS SNAPSHOT
MARKET CONDITION
CURRENT ALLOCATION
market condition
current allocation
EXITS (INDICATORS) USED IN THIS MODEL:
INDICATOR
TIME-FRAME
STATUS
LAST CHANGE
CALENDAR EFFECTS
US Equities Indicator
SEASONAL
NONE
Jan 1, 2001
CURRENT ALLOCATION
SECTOR
ALLOCATION
ETF
Name
xx.x
XXX
NITROGEN RISK SCORE

The Risk Number® from Nitrogen is an objective, quantitative measurement of an investor’s true risk tolerance and the risk in a portfolio. The patented technology calculates a “risk score” on a scale from 1-99, utilizing a scientific framework that won the Nobel Prize for Economics.

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MODELS WITH CALENDAR EFFECTS AT A GLANCE
CALENDAR EFFECTS | TRAILING ONE-YEAR MARKET TRADES
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE OF CALENDAR EFFECTS AGAINST BENCHMARKS
MODEL
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
YTD
ITD
MDD
CAL. EFFS
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
S&P 500 (SPY)
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
60/40 (VBINX)
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
SCHEDULED ACTIVITY
UNSCHEDULED ACTIVITY
MAXIMUM EQUITY ALLOCATION
MINIMUM EQUITY ALLOCATION
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Typically 11 roundtrip trades per year.
None.

All trades are scheduled in advance.
100% to US Equities when the model is in the market. This is approximately 28% of the market year.
100% to Cash when the model is out of the market. This is approximately 72% of the market year.
This is a conservative model with the total market exposure averaging just 28% of market days per year.

This model requires an unrestricted account due to the frequency of trades and their short duration — 6 to 8 market days is typical.
Model Description

The Calendar Effects Model is a shorter-term model whose goal is to be invested only during those short periods of time during the calendar year that have historically shown a high probability of profit. There are about 11 of these short periods per year, totaling just 72-75 market days of exposure per year.

The model has been a particularly good performer in Bear Markets with trade positions determined at the time of trade entry, and are based on the top 3 asset classes which are judged to be the best performing at that time, with equal allocations applied to each.

Construction

CALENDAR EFFECTS trade positions are determined at the time of trade entry, and are based on the top 3 Type 1 Stylebox ETFs which are judged to be the best performing at that time, with equal allocations applied to each.

The performance returns illustrated do not represent actual client accounts and are net of the highest management fee and trading costs which is 0.80%. Returns reflect since inception, one, five and ten‐year periods, and are reflected in U.S. dollars and assume that dividends are reinvested.

The strategies employed may involve technical trading techniques such as trend analysis, relative strength, moving averages, various momentum and related strategies. Technical trading models utilize mathematical algorithms to attempt to identify when markets are likely to increase or decrease and identify appropriate entry and exit points. The primary risk of technical trading models is that historical trends and past performance cannot predict future trends and there is no assurance that the mathematical algorithms employed are designed properly, new data is accurately incorporated, or the software can accurately predict future market, industry and sector performance.