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MODEL STATUS
MARKET CONDITION
CURRENT ALLOCATION
market condition
current allocation
EXITS (INDICATORS) USED IN THIS MODEL:
INDICATOR
TIME-FRAME
STATUS
LAST CHANGE
DELTA-V
US Equities Indicator
LONG
NONE
Jan 1, 2001
STARPATH
US Equities Indicator
SHORT
NONE
Jan 1, 2001
ASTROTREND Energy
SHORT
NONE
Jan 1, 2001
CURRENT ALLOCATION
SECTOR
ALLOCATION
ETF EXAMPLE
MUT. FND. EX.
Name
xx.x
XXX
XXXXX
NITROGEN RISK SCORE

The Risk NumberĀ® from Nitrogen is an objective, quantitative measurement of an investor’s true risk tolerance and the risk in a portfolio. The patented technology calculates a ā€œrisk scoreā€ on a scale from 1-99, utilizing a scientific framework that won the Nobel Prize for Economics.

RISK MANAGED ENERGY MODELS AT A GLANCE
MODEL
ENERGY + SR2ENERGY + DVCEENERGY + OPT BND
YTD RETURN
x.xx
%
x.xx
%
x.xx
%
ASTROTREND ENERGY INDICATOR
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE OF RISK MANAGED ENERGY+SR2 AGAINST BENCHMARKS
MODEL
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
YTD
ITD
MDD
ENERGY SR2
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
S&P 500 (SPY)
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
60/40 (VBINX)
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
1.23%
SCHEDULED ACTIVITY
UNSCHEDULED ACTIVITY
IN ENERGY MARKET
OUT OF ENERGY MARKET
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
None when in XLE.
ā€
Otherwise, this follows the Sector Rotation 2 model.
Changes in the ASTROTREND ENERGY status.
When ASTROTREND ENERGY indicstor is above zero.
When ASTROTREND ENERGY indicator is below zero.
Emphasis is on managing the risk of large lossesduring longer-term downtrends in the Energy market.
Model Description

The Risk-Managed Energy Model is a longer-term low-activity Model whose goal is to identify and invest in longer-term uptrends in Energy, while managing the risk of investing in this highly volatile market by identifying and avoiding its longer-term downtrends. Trends are identified by the proprietary Energy ASTROTREND. When Energy is in a downtrend, funds are invested in a non-Energy model.

Construction

When the Energy ASTROTREND is positive (above zero), 100% of the model's funds are invested in shares of XLE, an energy sector ETF. When the Energy ASTROTREND is negative (below zero), 100% of funds are invested in the Sector Rotation 2 model.

Visit the online Portfolio Toolkit for positions.

The performance returns illustrated do not represent actual client accounts and are net of the highest management fee and trading costs which is 0.80%. Returns reflect since inception, one, five and ten‐year periods, and are reflected in U.S. dollars and assume that dividends are reinvested.

The strategies employed may involve technical trading techniques such as trend analysis, relative strength, moving averages, various momentum and related strategies. Technical trading models utilize mathematical algorithms to attempt to identify when markets are likely to increase or decrease and identify appropriate entry and exit points. The primary risk of technical trading models is that historical trends and past performance cannot predict future trends and there is no assurance that the mathematical algorithms employed are designed properly, new data is accurately incorporated, or the software can accurately predict future market, industry and sector performance.